Andy Murray survived an almighty scare on the opening day of the US Open to book his place in the 2nd Round and set up a tie against German rank outsider, Matthias Bachinger on Wednesday.
Murray is 1/12 to beat the German, with Bachinger a best price of 9/1 with Boylesports (he is as short as 6/1 with some bookies). The German is ranked 235 in the world though, and under normal circumstances I would have expected Murray to be shorter than the short looking 1/12.
But these aren’t normal circumstances with Murray. He lost 9 games in a row on Monday, which is not the form of a top player, and even given that cramp was the main reason for this, the fact that he is cramping up on the first day of a major tournament doesn’t bode well for Murray.
Given Murray’s struggles I was fairly surprised today to see that he is still a short looking 9/1 to win this second title at Flushing Meadows, currently third favourite behind Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer.
Despite saying himself that coming into this tournament he felt in the best condition he has been in since winning Wimbledon last year, it is hard to see Murray competing for this title. He also has to play Djokovic in the last 8 should both of them get there (Djokovic isn’t exactly in the form of his life either), making any potential path to the final even trickier.
It will be interesting to see how Murray’s fitness holds up should this 2nd Round match go beyond 3 sets (which it shouldn’t), but even on one leg Murray should win this match comfortably. What happens beyond that though is hard to predict.
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